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The Perils of Investing in Fixed-Income Bonds

Oct 18, 2023 By Triston Martin

For many years, fixed-income securities have been a staple of investor portfolios, assisting both savers and retirees in generating income to help them achieve their financial objectives. Due to its lower volatility, investing in fixed income is typically considered less dangerous than investing in the stock market. Less danger does not, however, imply no risk.

In his 2021 annual letter to shareholders, legendary investor Warren Buffett stated that "Fixed-income investors worldwide - whether pension funds, insurance companies, or retirees - face a grim future." Bonds are no longer the place to be, he declared.

Let's examine some of the major dangers associated with fixed-income instruments.

Credit danger

Your return as a bond investor will come from the timely payment of coupons and principal, the reinvestment of those coupons, and any gain or loss if you choose to sell the bond before it matures.

Credit risk is the possibility of suffering a loss if the bond issuer fails to make the necessary principal and interest payments on schedule or at all. When an issuer fails to make a required payment, they are said to be "in default." Even if a business or government is solvent, money may not always be enough to cover all of its debts. In the event of a default, bondholders are typically not fully destroyed, but the final effect depends on how quickly investors recover their investments.

Widening risk

Bonds that are thought to be free from the danger of default, like U.S. Treasury bonds, often trade at a yield premium to bonds issued by corporations or other organizations that bear credit risk. If the issuer's creditworthiness or the bond's liquidity drop, this yield premium, or spread, may grow, which will lower the bond's price.

Reduced risk

This refers to the possibility that a bond issuer's creditworthiness would deteriorate, driving its yields and lowering bond prices. Downgrade risk is so named because declining creditworthiness would probably lead to the bond's rating being lowered or downgraded by major rating agencies, including Moody's, Standard & Poor's, and Fitch.

Availability risk

This risk arises when the price at which a bond can be purchased or sold differs from the market price. Bonds having liquidity risk typically trade at higher yields than otherwise identical bonds because investors may not be able to buy or sell them in the amount they desire.

Risk of inflation Fixed-income investors pays particular attention to inflation since it may lower their overall return. If inflation is 3 percent or greater, a bond with a 2 percent yield will hurt investors. Interest rate levels typically consider inflation projections, although perceptions can swiftly shift and cause rates to rise or fall.

Rate-Risk Exposure

The danger of increasing or decreasing interest rates is another significant risk involved with fixed-income investing. Rate changes affect bond investors because they alter the rate at which coupon payments can be reinvested and alter the bond's market price if the investor wants to sell it before the bond matures.

Bond prices reduce as interest rates rise, but since rates have been steadily falling for decades, some investors may forget or overlook the hazards associated with fluctuating interest rates.

Risk of reinvestment

This risk refers to the possibility that bond coupon payments won't be able to be reinvested at a rate that is competitive with the existing return. Because dropping interest rates will raise the bond's market price, this risk can be somewhat reduced. High coupon rates and lengthy reinvestment periods are associated with the highest reinvestment risk.

Reinvestment risk is another aspect of CDs, as you might be unable to reinvest the funds at the same rate after they mature. However, as most CDs require you to leave your money alone until the term is up or face an early withdrawal penalty, you won't be able to benefit from the higher return if rates improve after you've bought the CD.

Price hazard

The effect of fluctuating interest rates on the bond's market price is referred to as price risk. The most vulnerable bondholders to price risk are those with shorter time horizons, including short-term speculators, who may sell a bond before receiving a coupon.

To sum up

Although fixed-income trading may be less volatile than stock market investing, this does not imply guaranteed profits or zero risk.

Undoubtedly, fixed-income investments can offer investors some benefits of diversification. Investors frequently view U.S. Treasury bonds as protective, which causes their prices to rise during market stress when stocks may decrease sharply.

Make sure you comprehend the bond or bond mutual fund's credit rating and consider how any changes in interest rates can affect your portfolio.

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